What Can Be Checked in Crash Brief

I am building Crash Brief to examine market risk and check earlier estimates against what happened afterward. Over the past few days, we opened a library describing the service, its methods, and its limitations. A person can read it on the site, and their AI assistant can get the same information in a format it can use.

For a client, this is a way to move from the current state of the market to an explanation of the numbers and the available history. To see what exactly is being measured, in which units, and where there is still too little data. I want a conversation about risk like this to rest on things that can be checked.

The difficult part is still ahead. We are working with several estimates of possible market movement and want to connect them with the cost of option protection. It is easy here to get an attractive number, then discover that the data refer to different moments or that there are still too few past outcomes. So each new estimate will have to be checked on the following days and compared with the actual move.

I already see value in the system helping to break risk down into understandable questions and return to old forecasts. Whether the next part will give an advantage in working with options can only be shown by new results.